The Exchange

Football prediction markets

Trade the outcome, not the odds. Every question on every game is a market: buy Yes or No at a live price, sell before kick-off, and get $1 a share when you're right.

How it works

1. Pick a question

"Will the home team win?", "Over 2.5 goals?", "Both teams to score?" Each one has a live price from 1 to 99: the chance the crowd gives it.

2. Buy Yes or No

Think the price is too low? Buy Yes. Too high? Buy No. The cheaper the share, the more you make if you're right.

3. Sell or wait

Sell before kick-off if the price moves your way, or hold to the final whistle. Winning shares pay $1 each, straight to your wallet.

Prediction market questions

What is a football prediction market?

A prediction market turns a question about a game, such as "Will Arsenal win?" or "Over 2.5 goals?", into shares you can buy. A Yes share pays $1 if the answer is yes and nothing if it is no. The price of a share, between 1 and 99, is the crowd's estimate of the chance it happens.

How is this different from betting with a bookmaker?

A bookmaker sets fixed odds and you are locked in once you bet. In a prediction market the price moves as people trade, and you can sell your shares before kick-off to take a profit or cut a loss. You are trading the outcome, not taking fixed odds.

How do I make money?

Buy when you think the real chance is higher than the price. If you buy Yes at 60 and it happens, each share pays $1 for the 60¢ you paid. You can also sell earlier if the price rises.

How are markets settled?

Automatically from the final score, shortly after the match ends. Winning shares are paid into your wallet. If a match is postponed or abandoned, the market is voided and everyone gets back what they paid.

What does it cost?

There is a 3% site fee on each trade. Opening an account is free, and you can follow every price without trading.

Which games can I trade?

Every match we preview: Premier League, La Liga, Champions League and more, plus NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB and UFC. Each game has several questions, including the match winner, total goals and both teams to score.

Who can trade?

Adults only (18+, or the legal age where you live). Trade only what you can afford to lose. You can pause trading on your own account at any time from the Wallet tab.

18+ only. Prices are opinions of the crowd, not guarantees. Trade only what you can afford to lose.

Football predictions today · Our track record · How we predict · NBA, NFL and more