How we make our football predictions

Gameday Predictions is an independent football tips site run from Kenya. We are not a bookmaker and we never take bets. This page explains exactly how every preview, bet tip and expert pick on the site is produced and checked, so you can judge them for yourself.

1. The data

For every match we collect the fixture and kick-off time, both teams' league positions and points, their last five results, goals scored and conceded, home and away form, and, when available, corners, cards and head-to-head results. Fixtures and standings come from licensed football data feeds and are refreshed three times a day.

2. The analysis

Our analysis system combines that data with AI language models to write the match preview and suggest three bet tips (goals, corners or cards lines) and one expert pick on another market, each with a confidence rating from 50% to 90%. The confidence is our estimate of how likely the pick is to win, not a promise.

3. The checks

Before anything is published, every set of picks passes our house rules automatically: the four bets must not contradict each other (they must all be able to win together), double chance is always written out in full, and both-teams-to-score always says Yes or No. Picks that fail are rewritten, never published.

4. The record

Every published prediction is stored with its odds before kick-off and graded automatically after the final whistle. A prediction changed after kick-off is not counted. Wins and losses stay on our public track record permanently: so far 606 of 978 settled bets have won, and 164 of 263 expert picks. We never delete a losing pick.

5. What's free and what's paid

Every match preview, our one-line prediction with a likely score, the form and standings and our confidence rating are free. The three bet tips on every match are free too. The expert pick is unlocked per match for $1, and the daily acca and Gameday bet slips are sold separately. Payment is by M-Pesa, card or USDT/USDC stablecoins.

Responsible betting

No bet is ever guaranteed. Only bet with a licensed bookmaker, only if you are 18 or older, and never more than you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Predictions today · Predictions tomorrow · Weekend predictions · Sure bets · Track record